← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

SOL traders are squaring up ahead of the inflation print as liquidity thins out. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout; thin liquidity and event risk mean no new positions despite the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away — inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality; thin liquidity also risks slippage and whipsaw.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade rule; standing flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute no-new-positions blackout window. Standing aside per mandate regardless of setup quality; liquidity thinning and event risk make this a clear wait.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now is a compliance violation regardless of setup quality. Stand aside until volatility settles post-release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. Liquidity is thinning, so the correct action is to stand aside until after the event risk passes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the mandated 30-minute no-new-position window. Liquidity is thinning and event risk can invalidate even a clean setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which breaches the strict 30-minute embargo window for opening new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. With CPI 17 minutes away, standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-new-position rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, so the correct action is to stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
The hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. With only 17 minutes until the CPI print, the setup is invalid to take.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat