← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

SOL chops sideways as traders square positions ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window; stand aside regardless of setup and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window rule. Standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
CPI release in 17 minutes; no new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact events.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data. The market is also chopping sideways, offering no edge.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute blackout window. Hard rule prohibits new positions; stand aside and reassess after the print and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute no-new-positions blackout window. Additionally, SOL is chopping sideways with no trend (low ADX), so the no-edge gate also fails. Standing flat is the correct, compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. Stand aside despite the setup and reassess after the event volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and the release is 17 minutes away. SOL is also chopping sideways, so standing aside preserves capital and avoids event-risk churn.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is inside the strict 30-minute blackout window for opening new positions. Standing aside until the data is released and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 min; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. Additionally, sideways chop offers no edge.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule breach: CPI is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact releases. Additionally, sideways chop offers no edge. Stand flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat