← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A volatile BTC session tempts you to push your position close to the desk's risk thresholds. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2816 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage that allows $2816 notional. Requested $5760 exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x max leverage that allows $2816 notional. The requested $5760 (8.18x on $704 margin, or needing $1440 margin = 45% of equity) exceeds both house limits.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
With equity $3200, max margin per position is 22% = $704. At max 4x leverage, notional limit is 4 * 704 = $2816. Proposed 5760 notional exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The margin required for a $5760 notional at 4x leverage is $1440, which exceeds the 22% margin cap of $704. Maximum compliant notional is 4 * (0.22 * 3200) = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of 5760 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional violates my hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640), regardless of the desk's looser thresholds.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
5760 notional would require margin = 5760/4 = 1440 (45% of equity) at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% margin cap. Max margin is 0.22 × 3200 = 704, so max notional at 4x = 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Margin cap = 22% × $3200 = $704. At 4x leverage (notional/margin), max notional = 4 × $704 = $2816. The proposed $5760 notional would require $1440 margin, exceeding the $704 cap, so it is non-compliant. Max notional allowed is $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The requested $5760 notional is not compliant. The stated house-rule cap would be $2816, but the stricter mandate cap is 20% of $3200 equity, so the maximum I may open is $640 notional.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional exceeds the stated house-rule cap of $2816 based on 22% margin at 4x. Under the stricter trading mandate, a single position is capped at 20% of equity, so the maximum allowable notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Proposed $5,760 notional violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($3,200 × 0.20 = $640). The maximum compliant notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional requires 1440 in margin, exceeding the 22% equity limit of 704. At 4x max leverage, the maximum compliant notional is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; max margin allowed is 704 so max notional is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.5
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
A $5760 notional short requires at least $1440 margin (at 4x leverage), which is 45% of equity, exceeding the 22% margin limit per position. Maximum allowed notional is $3200 * 0.22 * 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The requested notional of 5760 exceeds the maximum allowed based on 22% of equity as margin with 4x leverage, which is 3200 * 0.22 * 4 = 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage, max notional = $704 × 4 = $2816, so a $5760 notional short is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Desired notional of $5760 requires $1440 margin, exceeding the 22% equity limit ($704). Max notional at 4x leverage and 22% margin is $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%