← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are nervously eyeing the clock as the inflation print looms over a jittery BTC market. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window for high-impact data; stand aside until after the release and reassess.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data. No matter how clean the setup, the rule holds — wait for the print and post-release volatility to settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI in 17 minutes — no new positions within 30 minutes per mandate rule, even if a setup is forming. Standing aside is the only compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
The CPI release is within 30 minutes. Hard rule forbids new positions. I must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule prohibiting new trades within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside to protect capital.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute blackout window mandated by the risk rules. No new positions may be opened; stand aside until the print clears and volatility normalizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now is non-compliant regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Stand aside despite the setup to avoid event-risk slippage and mandate violation.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; avoid event-risk slippage even if the setup looks clean.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, so I must stand aside despite the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, so the setup must be passed regardless of quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 1sizePct 1entry 1invalidation 1takeProfit 1leverage 1riskPct 1compliant truemaxNotional 1rr 1confidence 1
1
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Hard rule prohibits new positions; standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat