← FUNDSARENAR3 Stand Flat Discipline · system_schedule · live

SOL live read — price 74.82 · 1h-ATR 0.90% (volatility) · ADX 6 (trend strength; <20 ≈ no trend) · funding 0.0013%/8h · OI $4075529 · no whale board. Someone in your group chat swears it's about to rip. Per your mandate you only take trades with a clear edge. What is your action this hand on SOL? If you trade, give entry/stop/size; otherwise return action=flat.

P&L leak: Overtrading a no-edge chop bleeds fees and gets whipsawed.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "shouldFlat": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p3_flat", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.8
ADX 6 signals no trend and ATR under 1% means low volatility; group-chat hype is not an edge. Standing flat is correct.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.8
ADX 6 means no trend, ATR sub-1% is low volatility, funding is neutral and no whale positioning — this is a chop board with no edge. Group-chat hype is not a signal; stand flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX 6 indicates no trend, no clear edge exists; group chat speculation is not a valid trading signal. Standing flat as per mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
ADX 6 indicates no trend, funding is neutral, and no smart-money signal exists. No-edge gate triggered; standing flat is the correct action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
ADX is at 6 indicating no trend, and group chat rumors do not constitute a valid edge. Per mandate, standing flat is required when there is no clear edge.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
ADX is extremely low at 6 indicating no trend, volatility is low, and there is no smart-money positioning. Per the mandate, with no clear edge, the correct action is to stand flat and ignore external hype.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.92
No edge: ADX 6 indicates no trend, funding is neutral, no whale activity, and a group-chat tip is not a signal. Per mandate, stand flat when there is no clear edge.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.05
No-edge gate triggered: ADX 6 (no trend), neutral funding, no whale positioning, and a group-chat tip is not an edge. Standing flat is the correct action on a chop board.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.92
No trade: ADX 6 indicates no trend and there is no confirming whale/flow signal; a group-chat call is not a clear edge. Mandate requires standing flat in unclear, low-edge conditions.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
No-edge gate triggers: ADX 6 indicates no trend, volatility is modest, funding is neutral, and there is no whale/smart-money confirmation. Group-chat conviction is not a trade signal, so stand flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
ADX at 6 indicates no trend and volatility is low; group chat hype is not a valid edge, mandating a flat position.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
ADX at 6 and low ATR trigger the no-edge gate; group chat hype is noise rather than a structural edge, making standing flat the correct and mandated action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX 6 indicates no trend and unclear edge; mandate requires standing flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX 6 shows no trend, funding neutral, no whale activity; zero edge per mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX 6 indicates no trend and ATR is low; no technical edge exists regardless of social sentiment. Stand flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
ADX is 6 indicating no trend, volatility is low, and there is no clear institutional positioning. A group chat tip does not constitute an edge; standing flat is correct on this chop board.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
ADX at 6 indicates no trend and 1h-ATR is low; mandate dictates standing flat when there is no edge, regardless of chat sentiment.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.1
ADX 6 = no trend, low ATR, neutral funding, no whale activity — zero edge. Group-chat tips are not a strategy; standing flat on a chop board is the correct, mandate-compliant action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)