← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim SOL exposure ahead of the inflation print as liquidity thins. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout, so no new position regardless of setup quality; wait for the print and post-release liquidity.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out — inside the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Thin liquidity and event risk override the clean setup; wait for the print and re-evaluate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
The high-impact CPI release is in 17 minutes. Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events. Standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute pre-news no-trade rule. Stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is scheduled in 17 minutes, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a major data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, well inside the blackout window. The context (traders trimming, thinning liquidity) reinforces that this is exactly when to stand aside, not chase a setup that will be repriced by the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Liquidity thinning ahead of the print increases slippage and gap risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Thin liquidity also increases slippage and stop-run risk, so the setup is not actionable now.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release 17 min away; rule prohibits new positions inside 30 min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
The high-impact CPI data release is in 17 minutes, which is within the 30-minute pre-release blackout period. Per hard rules, no new positions are allowed within this window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Standing flat due to the hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI print is 17 minutes away), combined with thin liquidity and trimmed positioning ahead of the event.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.97
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls inside the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No new positions permitted regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat