← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

SOL traders are coiling tight ahead of the inflation print, volumes drying up. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data; coiling volume offers no real edge against post-print volatility risk. Stand aside and reassess after the release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule forbids new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact CPI release. Standing aside until the event passes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, strictly violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.97
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; CPI is 17 minutes out, so the only compliant action is to stand aside. Setup can be reassessed post-release once volatility resolves and a clean level establishes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to print, I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks — post-CPI volatility and whipsaw risk make this a no-trade zone.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even a clean setup is not tradable under the mandate due to event risk and likely volatility expansion.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Drying volumes and event risk make the setup untradeable under the mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI data release is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute no-trade window before scheduled high-impact events. Volumes are drying up and the market is coiling, making the setup unreliable ahead of the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI data is only 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute pre-release buffer rule. Additionally, volumes are drying up, suggesting a lack of clear conviction, making this a no-edge environment. Stand flat and wait for the data to resolve.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat