← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Bitcoin desks are de-risking as the macro print approaches. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact releases. Stand aside until volatility resolves post-print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; rules forbid entering regardless of setup quality. Wait for the print and post-release confirmation.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window rule. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data release (CPI in 17 mins). Stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.92
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. With CPI 17 minutes away, taking this trade would violate the mandate regardless of setup quality. Stand aside until at least 30 minutes post-release, then reassess.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks. De-risking by desks confirms the right move is to wait.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Survival first; wait for the event risk to pass and reassess.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; avoid event-driven slippage and volatility even if the setup looks clean.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled macro prints regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release; 17 minutes is inside that window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away. Desk de-risking confirms elevated volatility risk. Stand aside, re-evaluate post-release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, well inside the blackout window. Stand flat and re-evaluate after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat