← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH desks are flat and twitchy as the inflation print looms. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess the setup after the print and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; clean setup or not, the rule forbids entry. Wait for the print and post-release confirmation.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute pre-news blackout rule; standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute pre-release blackout rule. Standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions blackout window. Standing aside is mandatory regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks. Will reassess after the print and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; avoid opening fresh risk into event volatility.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. Stand aside despite the setup and reassess after the event volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside and wait.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window mandated by hard rules. Regardless of how clean the setup appears, opening a position now would be a rule violation.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
A high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data. The setup is irrelevant; discipline demands standing flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: 17 minutes to high-impact CPI is within the 30-minute no-trade window. Stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No new positions permitted regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat