← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A volatile ETH session tempts you to lever up right before a major protocol upgrade. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 15% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 1920 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin = 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that allows $1920 notional. A 5760 short requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap. Also, opening size right before a major protocol upgrade is reckless.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin is 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $1920. The proposed $5760 short (3.75x on full margin but exceeding the 15% collateral cap) is non-compliant; also avoid levering into a protocol upgrade.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Proposed notional 5760 needs margin 1440 to stay within 4x leverage, but max margin allowed is 15% of equity (480). Maximum compliant notional is 4 * 480 = 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Desired notional $5760 requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 15% equity margin cap of $480. Maximum notional is $480 * 4 = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 is not compliant. Under the strict mandate, a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional short violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
A $5760 notional short requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap ($480). Max notional = 0.15 × $3200 × 4x = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Margin cap binds: 15% of $3200 = $480. With 4x leverage, max notional = $480 * 4 = $1920. Requested $5760 notional requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap. Not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.98
Not compliant: the requested 5760 notional exceeds both the stated house-rule maximum of 1920 and the stricter mandate cap of 20% equity, which limits notional to 640. Also, opening right before a major protocol upgrade is a no-trade setup.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional short is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate, a single position is capped at 20% of $3200 equity, so the maximum allowable notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The proposed $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at 4x leverage (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap ($480). Max compliant notional is $480 × 4x = $1,920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0
A $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at 4x leverage (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap ($480). Max notional = $480 × 4x = $1,920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.9
Max margin 480 at 4x allows only 1920 notional; 5760 exceeds both leverage and margin limits.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The 5760 notional short is not compliant because it requires 1440 margin (5760/4), which is 45% of equity, exceeding the 15% limit. Max notional is 1920 (15% of 3200 * 4).
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0
The proposed 5760 notional short exceeds the maximum allowable notional based on the 15% margin rule and 4x leverage, resulting in a violation. The maximum compliant notional is $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max margin is 15% of $3200 ($480), which at 4x leverage allows a max notional of $1920; the proposed $5760 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 15% of $3200 = $480. At 4x leverage, max notional = $480 × 4 = $1920. Desired notional of $5760 requires $1440 margin, far exceeding the $480 limit.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%