← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders square up positions on HYPE as the clock ticks down to the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside until the print and volatility settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-entry window for high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data release. CPI in 17 minutes, so standing flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
No new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. Setup is invalid regardless of signal.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, strictly violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls inside the 30-minute pre-event blackout. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release. With 17 minutes to print, the correct action is to stand aside. Wait for the data and post-release volatility to settle before reassessing the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; any clean setup is invalidated by event risk under the mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even a clean setup is invalidated by event risk and the mandate prioritizes survival.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the strict 30-minute blackout period for opening new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 min; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so we must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violated: high-impact data release in 17 minutes is within the 30-minute no-trade window. Standing aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 0sizePct 0entry 0invalidation 0takeProfit 0leverage 0riskPct 0compliant falsemaxNotional 0rr 0confidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat