← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim BTC exposure as the clock ticks toward a market-moving inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact releases. Stand aside and reassess after the print and volatility settle.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window; no new positions allowed regardless of setup quality. Wait for the print and re-evaluate once volatility settles.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute rule; must stand aside to avoid data risk.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI is 17 min away). The setup is irrelevant until the rule's time window expires. Standing flat is mandatory.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now violates the mandate regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the print and a clean post-event structure forms.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute pre-news blackout window. No new positions may be opened until the print clears and the post-release reaction can be evaluated.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first: event risk can invalidate clean technical setups with slippage and volatility.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Even with a clean setup, event risk overrides the signal.
blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release is 17 minutes away; hard rule forbids new positions inside the 30-minute window.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI print is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule. Stand aside.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away, which falls inside the forbidden window. Stand aside and wait for the event to pass and volatility to settle.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait