← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH chops sideways as a trader eyes a leveraged short into the next funding window. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 15% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 1920 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin = 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that allows $1920 notional. A $5760 short requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin = 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that allows $1920 notional, so the $5760 short is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
5760 notional requires margin of 1440 at max 4x leverage, exceeding the 15% margin cap of 480. Maximum notional allowed is 4 * 480 = 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0
Notional 5760 exceeds max allowed (equity 3200 * 4x leverage * 15% margin = 1920). The trade as described would be non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($640).
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested 5760 notional exceeds both the hypothetical scenario limits and the strict hard rule that a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of account equity ($640).
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
At 4x max leverage, opening $5760 notional requires $1440 margin, exceeding the 15% margin cap of $480 (15% of $3200). Max compliant notional = $480 margin × 4x leverage = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Margin cap is 15% of $3200 = $480. At max 4x leverage, notional = $480 * 4 = $1920. The requested $5760 notional requires $1440 margin, exceeding the 15% collateral cap, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.98
The proposed $5760 notional short is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate, a single position is capped at 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested $5760 short is not compliant. Under the stricter trading mandate, max single-position notional is 20% of $3200, so the maximum allowable notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
A $5,760 notional at max 4x leverage requires $1,440 margin, which exceeds the 15% equity cap of $480. The maximum notional allowed is $480 margin × 4x leverage = $1,920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The proposed $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at max 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity and exceeds the 15% margin cap ($480). Max compliant notional is $480 × 4 = $1,920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; max allowed margin is 480 so max notional is 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x (45% of equity) exceeding 15% cap; max notional at 480 margin and 4x is 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The 5760 notional short requires 1440 margin (at 4x leverage), which is 45% of equity, exceeding the 15% margin limit. Max notional at 4x with 15% margin is 15% * 3200 * 4 = 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The position is not compliant because margin committed (notional / leverage) exceeds the 15% equity limit. Max notional is 15% of $3200 * 4 leverage = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max margin is 15% of $3200 = $480. At 4x leverage, max notional = $480 × 4 = $1920. The proposed $5760 notional requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 15% limit.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max margin is 15% of $3200 = $480. At 4x leverage, max notional = $480 × 4 = $1920. Desired notional of $5760 requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), far exceeding the 15% limit.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%