← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up as the HYPE desk braces for the next inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window for high-impact releases. Stand aside and reassess after the print clears.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality; wait for the print and re-evaluate.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
CPI release is within 30-minute window, hard rule prohibits new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is scheduled in 17 minutes, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now is a compliance violation regardless of how clean the setup looks. Stand flat until the release clears and volatility normalizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute no-new-positions blackout window. Standing aside per mandate regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. With the print 17 minutes away, stand aside despite the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even a clean setup is disqualified by event risk and mandate rules.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the mandate to avoid new trades within 30 minutes of scheduled macro data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
Hard rule violated: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI release is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: high-impact CPI data release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat