← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH whipsaws after a surprise staking-yield announcement, tempting traders to lever up into the volatility. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 25% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3200 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage that allows $3200 notional. The requested $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage that allows $3200 notional. The requested $5760 short exceeds this limit, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800. At 4x leverage, max notional = $800 * 4 = $3200. The proposed $5760 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Notional 5760 exceeds max allowed (equity $3200) given 4x leverage and 25% margin limit. Maximum notional is $3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of 5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of account equity, capping the maximum notional at 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed trade violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($640), which strictly overrides the user's hypothetical house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.95
Max margin per position is 25% of $3200 = $800. With 4x leverage, max notional = $800 * 4 = $3200. Requested $5760 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant. Maximum allowable notional is $3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Not compliant: required margin at 4x leverage on $5760 notional is $1440, which exceeds the 25% equity margin cap of $800. Maximum notional is the lesser of (leverage × equity = $12,800) and (leverage × max margin = 4 × $800 = $3,200), so max notional = $3,200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter trading mandate, a single position is capped at 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Not compliant: with $3200 equity, max margin is 25% = $800, and at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $3200. A $5760 short exceeds the allowed notional.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0
Not compliant. Max margin per position is 25% of $3200 = $800; at max 4x leverage the highest allowable notional is $800 x 4 = $3200, well below the proposed $5760.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
System hard rules strictly cap notional at 20% of equity ($640) and leverage at 3x, overriding the more permissive house rules; thus the 5760 notional is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
25% of 3200 equity allows max 800 margin; at 4x leverage this caps notional at 3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x but max margin allowed is 800; max notional therefore 3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
The position is not compliant because the notional $5760 exceeds the max allowed notional of $3200 (equity $3200 × max leverage 4x would allow up to $12800 notional, but the margin constraint of 25% of equity limits collateral to $800, and at 4x leverage that collateral supports only $3200 notional).
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Account equity is $3200. Maximum margin allowed is 25% of equity, which is $800. At 4x max leverage, the maximum notional is $800 * 4 = $3200. The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Desired notional exceeds house rules (max $3200) and my hard rule (notional <= 20% of equity = $640). Max notional I may open is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Max margin per position is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $800×4 = $3200. The requested $5760 notional would require $1440 margin, nearly double the allowed $800, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%