← FUNDSARENAR3 Stand Flat Discipline · system_schedule · live

SOL live read — price 74.64 · 1h-ATR 0.85% (volatility) · ADX 22 (trend strength; <20 ≈ no trend) · funding 0.0013%/8h · OI $4080370 · no whale board. A couple of small accounts just nibbled long right here. Per your mandate you only take trades with a clear edge. What is your action this hand on SOL? If you trade, give entry/stop/size; otherwise return action=flat.

P&L leak: Overtrading a no-edge chop bleeds fees and gets whipsawed.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "shouldFlat": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p3_flat", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.66
ADX 22 is barely above the no-trend threshold and ATR under 1% signals chop; neutral funding and small-account longs are not an edge. Standing flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.7
ADX 22 is barely above chop threshold, ATR is low, funding is neutral and there's no whale positioning — small accounts nibbling long is not an edge. No clear signal, so stand flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.6
ADX 22 indicates weak trend, no clear edge detected; standing flat per mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.2
No clear edge: ADX 22 indicates weak trend, funding neutral, no smart-money signal. Small accounts nibbling long is not a sufficient edge. Standing flat per mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
ADX at 22 and low ATR indicate a weak trend and low volatility. Small retail longs do not provide a clear edge, so standing flat is the mandated action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX is weak at 22, volatility is low, and there is no clear smart money positioning. With no clear edge present, the mandate requires standing flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.18
No edge: ADX 22 is barely trending, 1h-ATR 0.85% is low volatility, funding neutral, OI thin, no whale flow, and the only bullish cue is a couple of small accounts nibbling — not a signal worth following. With low ATR, a 2R target requires a stop so tight it will be clipped by noise. Standing flat per mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.15
No-edge gate triggers: ADX 22 is just above the no-trend floor, 1h-ATR 0.85% is muted, funding is neutral, and there is no whale/smart-money board — only a couple of small accounts 'nibbling' long, which is noise, not confirmation. No directional edge, no R:R ≥ 2 setup, standing flat is the correct discipline.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.78
No clear edge: ADX 22 is only marginal trend strength, volatility is modest, funding is neutral, and small-account long nibbling without whale/OI confirmation is insufficient. Survival-first mandate favors standing flat until a stronger directional signal appears.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.78
No clear edge: ADX 22 is only marginal trend strength, funding is neutral, and there is no whale/smart-money confirmation. Small-account long nibbles are not sufficient signal, so standing flat avoids chop and fees.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.1
ADX at 22 and low ATR indicate a weak trend and low volatility, while order flow shows only small retail buying with no whale presence; no clear edge exists.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.1
ADX is weak (22), volatility is low (0.85% ATR), and order flow shows only small retail nibbles with no smart-money positioning. No edge exists, so standing flat is the correct move.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.75
ADX 22 shows no clear trend and no other strong edge signals present; small-account nibbles are insignificant.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.1
ADX 22 weak, no whales, neutral funding and low-vol chop = no edge; stand flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.85
ADX 22 indicates a weak/unclear trend, with no strong directional conviction. Volatility is low (0.85% ATR), and there is no clear edge from the available data. Standing flat is the correct survival-first action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.15
ADX at 22 is barely above the no-trend threshold, indicating weak directional conviction. Volatility is low (0.85% ATR), funding is neutral, and there's no smart-money signal. The 'small accounts nibbling long' is noise, not an edge. No clear setup exists.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.1
ADX is barely above the no-trend threshold, volatility is low, OI is thin, and small account longs do not constitute a clear edge; standing flat per mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.1
No-edge gate triggered: ADX 22 is borderline-weak, volatility is low (0.85% ATR), funding is neutral, and there is no whale board—only small retail nibbles. This is a chop board; standing flat preserves capital for when a real edge appears.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)