← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

SOL chops sideways as you eye a leveraged swing into the next validator upgrade. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6059 notional short on SOL. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2882 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage max notional = $2882. The requested $6059 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage max notional = $2882. The 6059 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.5
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max notional allowed is 22% equity margin * 4x leverage = $720.5 * 4 = $2882. Requested $6059 exceeds that.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of 6059 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at 655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of 6059 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity. The maximum allowed notional is 655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Proposed notional $6059 requires $1514.75 margin at 4x, which is 46.25% of equity and exceeds the 22% cap. Max notional = 4 × (0.22 × $3275) = 4 × $720.50 = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Requested notional $6059 is not compliant. Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; with the 4x leverage cap, max notional = 4 × $720.50 = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.99
The proposed $6059 SOL short exceeds the mandate's stricter single-position notional cap of 20% of $3275 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.99
The proposed $6059 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate, a single position cannot exceed 20% of $3275 equity, so maximum notional is $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
A 6059 notional at 4x leverage requires 1514.75 in margin (46.3% of equity), exceeding the 22% margin cap of 720.50. The binding constraint limits max notional to 720.50 × 4 = 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The desired 6059 notional is not compliant; the maximum allowed notional is 2882, calculated by applying the 4x max leverage to the 22% max margin limit (720.5) of the 3275 equity.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
6059 notional requires >22% equity margin at 4x; max notional is 0.22*3275*4=2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
6059 notional requires 1514.75 margin at 4x; max margin allowed is 720.5 so max notional is 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The requested 6059 notional short on SOL violates house rules: max leverage 4x and max 22% equity margin means max notional = 3275 * 0.22 * 4 = 2882. Not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Compliance check: The requested 6059 notional requires a margin of 1514.75 at 4x leverage, which is 46.25% of equity, exceeding the 22% margin limit. The maximum notional allowed is 22% of $3275 equity * 4x leverage = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The desired notional of $6059 violates the mandate's hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($3275 * 0.20 = $655). The maximum compliant notional is $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $720.50 × 4 = $2882. The requested $6059 notional would require $1514.75 margin (46.3% of equity), far exceeding the 22% limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%