← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH whipsaws around a major upgrade as funding rates flip negative overnight. Given: account equity $3450. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6383 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3036 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3450 = $759; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $3036, so the proposed $6383 short is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3450 = $759; at 4x max leverage that allows $3036 notional. The requested $6383 short exceeds this, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 1
Margin required for 6383 notional at 4x leverage is 1595.75, exceeding 22% of equity (759). Max notional allowed is 0.22 * 3450 * 4 = 3036.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 0
Notional $6383 exceeds max allowed $3036 (margin cap 22% of equity with 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 690confidence 1
The requested notional of $6383 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($690), overriding any conflicting house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=690 exp=3036 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 690confidence 1
The requested notional of $6383 is not compliant because hard rules dictate that a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of account equity ($690).
⊢ maxNotional=690 exp=3036 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3450 = $759. At 4x leverage, max notional = 759 * 4 = $3036. Requested $6383 exceeds this, so non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 690confidence 1
Proposed $6,383 notional fails both rule sets. Stricter system rule caps notional at 20% of equity = $690 (house margin cap would allow ~$3,036 at 4x, but the 20%-of-equity notional cap binds first).
⊢ maxNotional=690 exp=3036 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 690confidence 0.95
The proposed $6383 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3450 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $690, so no position should be opened at the requested size.
⊢ maxNotional=690 exp=3036 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 690confidence 0.99
The proposed $6383 notional short is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate cap, a single position's notional may not exceed 20% of $3450 equity, so the maximum notional is $690.
⊢ maxNotional=690 exp=3036 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 0.95
The 6383 notional requires at least 1595.75 margin at max 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% equity cap of 759. The binding constraint is margin: 759 × 4x = 3036 max notional.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3450 = $759. At 4x max leverage, max notional = $759 × 4 = $3036. The proposed $6383 notional exceeds this limit, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 0.9
6383 notional requires 1595.75 margin at 4x; 22% of 3450 equity allows only 759 margin so max notional is 3036.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 1
Proposed notional of $6383 exceeds the maximum allowed notional calculated from the 22% margin limit (22% of $3450 = $759 margin; at 4x leverage, max notional is $3036).
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 1
The proposed 6383 notional short exceeds the maximum allowed notional based on the 22% margin constraint, making it non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 1
The maximum margin allowed is 22% of $3450 ($759), which at 4x leverage permits a maximum notional of $3036; the requested $6383 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3036confidence 1
Max margin per position is 22% of $3450 = $759. At 4x leverage, max notional = $759 × 4 = $3,036. Desired notional of $6,383 exceeds this limit, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3036 exp=3036 err=0.0%