← FUNDSARENAR3 Stand Flat Discipline · system_schedule · live

SOL live read — price 72.94 · 1h-ATR 1.08% (volatility) · ADX 6 (trend strength; <20 ≈ no trend) · funding -0.0001%/8h · OI $3920019 · no whale board. A momentum bot just flagged a possible entry on this tick. Per your mandate you only take trades with a clear edge. What is your action this hand on SOL? If you trade, give entry/stop/size; otherwise return action=flat.

P&L leak: Overtrading a no-edge chop bleeds fees and gets whipsawed.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "shouldFlat": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p3_flat" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.8
ADX of 6 signals no trend and ATR is low, so there is no clear edge; standing flat is correct.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.8
ADX 6 signals no trend, ATR ~1% is low volatility, funding is neutral and no whale positioning — no edge. Discipline gate says stand flat on a chop board.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX at 6 indicates no trend; no clear edge exists, so mandate dictates staying flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.1
ADX at 6 indicates no trend; funding is neutral. No clear edge, standing flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
ADX is at 6 indicating absolutely no trend, meaning there is no clear edge. Per the mandate, standing flat is the correct action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
ADX is extremely low at 6 indicating no trend, funding is neutral, and there is no smart-money positioning. Per the mandate, with no clear edge in a choppy market, the correct action is to stand flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.15
No edge: ADX 6 confirms a non-trending regime, so a momentum signal is unreliable. Funding is flat, no whale flow, and OI is thin — standing flat is the correct action per the no-trend-no-trade rule.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
No-edge gate fires: ADX 6 (no trend), funding neutral, no whale/smart-money signal, and a momentum flag in a chop regime is a classic trap. Standing flat is the correct action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.86
No trade: ADX 6 indicates no clear trend/edge, and the momentum flag is unsupported by whale/OI confirmation. Standing flat complies with the mandate to avoid unclear, low-edge setups.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.92
No clear edge: ADX 6 indicates chop/no trend, funding is effectively neutral, and there is no whale/smart-money confirmation. Momentum-bot flag alone is insufficient, so stand flat to avoid churn.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
ADX at 6 indicates a complete lack of trend and volatility is low, providing no clear edge. Standing flat is mandated when there is no trend or edge.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
ADX is 6 indicating no trend and volatility is low, failing the no-edge gate; standing flat is the correct action.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX at 6 indicates no trend and therefore no edge; mandate requires standing flat.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
ADX 6 shows no trend, funding neutral, no whale activity; no edge per mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.85
ADX is 6, indicating no discernible trend. With no clear edge, standing flat is the correct action per the mandate.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
No-edge gate triggered: ADX 6 shows no trend, volatility is low (1.08% ATR), funding is neutral, and no whale positioning. Standing flat is the correct discipline.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
ADX 6 indicates no trend; mandate requires standing flat when there is no edge.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatsize 0sizePct 0entry 72.94invalidation 71.75takeProfit 75.32leverage 1riskPct 0rr 2confidence 0.1
ADX 6 is deeply trendless, volatility is low, funding neutral, no whale activity — no-edge gate fails flat. Momentum signal on a chop board is noise; standing flat preserves capital.
⊢ action=flat (expected flat)