← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

SOL chops sideways as traders brace for the upcoming inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI is 17 minutes away, within the 30-minute blackout window, so no new positions allowed regardless of setup quality. Wait for the print and post-release clarity.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data. Stand aside and re-evaluate after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute pre-news quiet period. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes, within the 30-minute no-new-position window. Flat is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, strictly violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes out, so opening now violates the mandate. Stand aside until the release clears and post-print structure is established.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now is non-compliant. Additionally, sideways chop means no trend edge. Standing aside is the correct action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and the event is 17 minutes away. Stand aside until after the print and volatility normalizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and the release is only 17 minutes away. Stand aside despite the setup to avoid event-risk slippage and rule violation.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, breaching the strict 30-minute blackout period for new positions. Additionally, sideways chop pre-news offers no edge.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI in 17min; rule forbids new positions within 30min of release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away; standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window before a scheduled high-impact data release. No new positions allowed.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat is mandatory regardless of the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat