← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

BTC hovers near 66852 after a sharp wick into support, with bulls eyeing a continuation. Given: long BTC — entry 66852, stop 64512.18, target 72116.6. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.2500021369165175, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2339.82 and reward is 5264.6, giving R:R of 2.25 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk = 2339.82, reward = 5264.6, R:R ≈ 2.25 which meets the >=2 threshold, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 1
The trade offers a reward:risk of 2.25 (5264.6/2339.82), satisfying the minimum 2:1 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
RR=2.25 >= 2, trade valid
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.25confidence 1
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which meets the minimum requirement of 2.0, making this a valid trade setup.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.25confidence 1
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.18confidence 0.7
Reward:risk = (72116.6 - 66852) / (66852 - 64512.18) = 5264.6 / 2339.82 ≈ 2.25, which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is acceptable on R:R grounds.
⊢ rr=2.18 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk = 66852 - 64512.18 = 2339.82; Reward = 72116.6 - 66852 = 5264.6; R:R = 5264.6 / 2339.82 ≈ 2.25, which meets the >=2.0 mandate threshold, so the trade is permissible on an R:R basis.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
Reward is 5264.6 and risk is 2339.82, giving an R:R of about 2.25. This meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade can be taken.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
Reward is 5264.6 and risk is 2339.82, giving an R:R of about 2.25. This meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade is eligible on R:R.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longsizePct 0.2entry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6leverage 1riskPct 0.7rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward-to-risk ratio of 2.25 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; notional capped at 20% of equity keeps realized risk at ~0.7%, well within the 1% limit.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward:risk is 5264.6/2339.82 ≈ 2.25, which meets the minimum 2.0 threshold, so the trade is acceptable on R:R grounds.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
RR calculates to 2.25 which meets the minimum 2:1 requirement so the trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.29confidence 0.7
Reward:risk is 2.29, which meets the 2:1 threshold. The entry is near support after a sharp wick, offering a favorable setup for continuation.
⊢ rr=2.29 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 66852invalidation 64512.18takeProfit 72116.6rr 2.26confidence 0.7
Reward:Risk of 2.26 meets the minimum 2:1 threshold; the sharp wick into support with bullish continuation intent provides a reasonable setup.
⊢ rr=2.26 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.8
The reward:risk ratio is approximately 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, so the trade can be taken.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk = 2339.82, reward = 5264.6, R:R = 2.25 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold; wick into support with continuation setup justifies a long.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true