← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH chops sideways as traders square up ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 18 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI is only 18 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window; the setup may be clean but event risk and whipsaw violate the rules. Wait for the print and a confirmed move.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 18 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
No new positions allowed within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release per hard rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release in 18 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade rule before data. Standing aside to avoid unpredictable volatility.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release like CPI strictly violates the hard rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 18 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data. Standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI is 18 minutes away, which is inside the 30-minute blackout window for opening new positions ahead of a high-impact data release. Standing aside is the only compliant action; will reassess after the print and the initial volatility flush.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.05
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release, and CPI is only 18 minutes away. Additionally, the no-edge gate is triggered — ETH is chopping sideways with no clear trend. Standing flat is the correct, rule-compliant action.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and it is only 18 minutes away. Stand aside despite the setup and reassess after the event volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 18 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even with a clean setup, event risk and potential slippage violate the mandate.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 18 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 18 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release in 18 min; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 18 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min. Sideways chop also shows no edge.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
The hard rule forbids opening a new position within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI print is 18 minutes away).
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 1
The setup is 18 minutes before a high-impact CPI release, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events. Discipline dictates standing aside regardless of the perceived setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: high-impact CPI release is 18 minutes away, which falls within the 30-minute no-trade window before scheduled data. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitsize 1sizePct 1entry 1invalidation 1takeProfit 1leverage 1riskPct 1compliant truemaxNotional 1rr 1confidence 1
CPI release is 18 minutes away; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside until the event clears.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait