← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH staking rumors push the desk to add a tactical short before the unlock cliff. Given: account equity $7400. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 13320 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 6512 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $7400 = $1628; at 4x leverage that allows $6512 notional, so a $13320 short is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $7400 = $1628; at 4x leverage max notional = $6512. The requested $13320 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 1
Desired notional $13320 requires margin $3330 (at max 4x lev), but max allowed margin is 22% of $7400 = $1628. Not compliant. Max notional = 1628 * 4 = $6512.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0.5
Notional $13320 requires margin $3330 at 4x leverage, exceeding 22% of equity ($1628). Max notional is 0.22 * 7400 * 4 = $6512.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1480confidence 1
The proposed notional of $13,320 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to $1,480.
⊢ maxNotional=1480 exp=6512 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1480confidence 1
The proposed notional of 13320 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to 1480.
⊢ maxNotional=1480 exp=6512 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0.95
Proposed $13,320 notional requires $3,330 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% equity cap of $1,628. Max compliant notional = 0.22 × $7,400 × 4 = $6,512.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0
Not compliant. $13,320 notional requires $3,330 margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of $1,628. Maximum notional allowed is $1,628 * 4 = $6,512.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1480confidence 0.95
Not compliant: the requested $13320 notional exceeds the binding single-position notional cap of 20% of $7400 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $1480 under the stricter mandate.
⊢ maxNotional=1480 exp=6512 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1480confidence 0.99
The requested $13,320 short is not compliant. Under the governing mandate, the 20% single-position notional cap binds: $7,400 × 0.20 = $1,480 maximum notional.
⊢ maxNotional=1480 exp=6512 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 1
Required margin for 13320 notional at 4x leverage is 3330, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of 1628. Max notional is 1628 margin times 4x leverage = 6512.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0
The proposed 13320 notional is not compliant; the maximum notional is 6512, derived from 22% of 7400 equity (1628 margin) multiplied by 4x max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0.9
13320 notional requires 3330 margin at 4x > 1628 (22% equity) limit; max notional therefore 6512.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 1
A 13320 notional short on $7400 equity requires ~1.8x notional/equity leverage just on notional alone, but the margin constraint is 22% of equity = $1628 collateral. At 4x max leverage, max notional = $1628 * 4 = $6512. The requested 13320 exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0.5
Max margin per position is 22% of equity = $1628, max leverage 4x, so max notional = $1628 * 4 = $6512. Requested $13320 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $7400 = $1628; at 4x leverage this supports $6512 notional, well below the requested $13320.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 6512confidence 0.5
Max margin is 22% of $7400 = $1628; at 4x leverage the max notional is $6512, well below the requested $13320.
⊢ maxNotional=6512 exp=6512 err=0.0%