← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim BTC exposure as the headline inflation print looms. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside regardless of setup quality and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print; no setup justifies breaking that rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes, which violates the 30-minute pre-release restriction. No new positions allowed.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
No new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact release (CPI in 17 min). Standing aside despite clean setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release strictly violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute blackout window for high-impact data. No new positions allowed per mandate; stand aside and reassess post-release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks, then reassess after the release and any volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. The setup is invalid for execution under the mandate regardless of how clean it looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release; the print is 17 minutes away. Stand aside and reassess after the event volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the strict 30-minute blackout period for opening new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
A high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule against opening positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data releases. Stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away — must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Hard rule violation; must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat