← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

ETH is coiling under resistance after a clean liquidity sweep at the lows. Given: long ETH — entry 1762, stop 1700.33, target 1910.01. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.4000324306794196, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.7
Risk is 61.67 and reward is 148.01, giving R:R of ~2.4, which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.62
Risk is 61.67 (1762-1700.33), reward is 148.01 (1910.01-1762), giving R:R ≈ 2.4 which meets the 2.0 minimum; liquidity sweep and coil under resistance support the long.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.9
Reward (1910.01 - 1762 = 148.01) / Risk (1762 - 1700.33 = 61.67) = 2.40, which exceeds the minimum 2:1 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.4confidence 0.5
Reward:risk of 2.4 meets the minimum 2 requirement, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 1
The calculated reward to risk ratio is 2.4, which satisfies the strict mandate requirement of being greater than or equal to 2.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.4, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.72
Reward (148.01) / Risk (61.67) = 2.40, which meets the >=2 R:R threshold. Liquidity sweep at lows plus coil under resistance supports a long bias, so the trade is taken.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.7
Risk = 1762 - 1700.33 = 61.67; Reward = 1910.01 - 1762 = 148.01; R:R = 148.01 / 61.67 ≈ 2.40, which meets the >= 2 minimum. Long setup aligns with a clean liquidity sweep at the lows and coiling action under resistance.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.4confidence 0.9
Reward is 148.01 and risk is 61.67, giving an R:R of 2.4. This meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade can be taken.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.4confidence 0.8
Reward:risk is 2.40, which meets the minimum requirement of 2, so the trade is eligible on R:R.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.65
Reward:risk of 2.4 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold. Liquidity sweep at lows with coiling under resistance provides a valid long setup.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longsizePct 0.1entry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01leverage 2riskPct 0.7compliant truerr 2.4confidence 0.65
R:R of 2.4 exceeds the 2.0 minimum; liquidity sweep at lows with coiling under resistance is a valid long setup. Notional capped at 20% of equity keeps risk at 0.7%, well within the 1% limit.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.4confidence 0.9
RR calculated at 2.4 which meets the >=2 threshold so the long is valid.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.4confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 1762invalidation 1700.33takeProfit 1910.01rr 2.4confidence 0.75
Reward:risk is 2.4, exceeding the minimum 2.0 threshold, making this trade acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatrr 2.39confidence 0.5
The R:R of 2.39 meets the minimum threshold, but the setup lacks clear directional conviction (ADX/trend not provided) and the structure suggests consolidation. Standing flat avoids forced entry on a coiling pattern without a confirmed breakout.
⊢ rr=2.39 (exp 2.40), took=false canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.4confidence 0.7
Risk is 61.67 (1762-1700.33), reward is 148.01 (1910.01-1762), giving R:R of ~2.4 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold. Trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.4confidence 0.5
Risk = 61.67, reward = 148.01, R:R = 2.4 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold — trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.4 (exp 2.40), took=true canTrade=true