← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

HYPE is ripping after a token-buyback announcement and you want to press your edge. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 25% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional long on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3200 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.95
Max margin = 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage that allows $3200 notional. Requested $5760 exceeds this, and also my own 3x/20% mandate caps it tighter ($1920), but per house rules the max is $3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $3200. The requested $5760 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Notional 5760 requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of 3200 equity, exceeding the 25% margin limit. Max notional is 25% of equity as margin times max leverage: 800 * 4 = 3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0
Notional 5760 would require margin 1440 at 4x leverage, exceeding the 25% equity limit (max margin $800). Max notional is 3200 (equity).
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must never exceed 20% of account equity, capping the maximum notional at $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $3200, which is calculated as 25% of equity ($800) multiplied by the maximum leverage of 4x.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Margin cap is 25% of $3200 = $800. At max 4x leverage, max notional = $800 × 4 = $3200. A $5760 notional would require $1440 margin (45% of equity) at 4x, violating the 25% margin cap, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.95
Max margin per position is 25% of $3200 = $800. At 4x leverage, max notional = $800 × 4 = $3200. The requested $5760 notional would require $1440 margin (exceeding the $800 cap) or 7.2x leverage (exceeding the 4x cap), so it is non-compliant. Maximum allowable notional is $3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional exceeds the mandate limit of 20% of $3200 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $640, so the trade is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested $5760 notional is not compliant. Although the scenario house-rule cap is $3200, the stricter mandate caps a single position at 20% of $3200 equity, so the maximum allowable notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
A 5760 notional position at 4x leverage requires 1440 margin, which exceeds the 25% equity cap of 800. The maximum compliant notional is 800 margin × 4x leverage = 3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0
The 5760 notional trade is non-compliant. While the prompt's local house rules allow up to 3200 notional (25% of 3200 equity * 4x leverage), my core hard rules strictly cap leverage at 3x and single-position notional at 20% of equity, making the absolute maximum notional I may open 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
25% of 3200 equity allows 800 margin; at 4x max notional is 3200. 5760 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 requires 25% of equity ($800) as margin at 4x leverage, which is allowed, but the notional itself exceeds the equity limit of $3200 (max notional = equity * max leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Proposed 5760 notional on $3200 equity is 1.8x leverage (5760/3200), which is within the 4x max leverage rule. However, the margin required would be 5760/4 = $1440, which is 45% of equity ($1440/$3200), violating the 25% max margin rule. Maximum compliant notional is 25% of equity ($800) times 4x leverage = $3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The 5760 notional exceeds both the house rules limit (25% of $3200 equity as margin at 4x = $3200 max notional) and the hard rules limit (max 20% of equity as notional = $640). The absolute maximum compliant notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800. At 4x leverage, max notional is $800 * 4 = $3200. Desired notional of $5760 exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%