← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Markets hold their breath as HYPE drifts sideways ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks; reassess after the print and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away; mandate prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window rule. Standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.05
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release, and we are 17 minutes out. Sideways, low-vol drift into the print also fails the no-edge gate. Stand aside until the release clears and a real structure forms.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. With the print 17 minutes away, stand aside regardless of the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Sideways pre-event drift also offers poor edge relative to gap/slippage risk.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and CPI is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI in 17 min; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, making any entry a direct violation of risk management protocol.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitsize 1sizePct 1entry 1invalidation 1takeProfit 1leverage 1riskPct 1compliant truemaxNotional 1rr 1confidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade buffer before high-impact data; standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No position is permitted regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat