← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

SOL is consolidating just under a key resistance shelf after a sharp morning rally. Given: long SOL — entry 72.67, stop 70.13, target 78.39. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.251968503937002, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2.54 and reward is 5.72, giving R:R of 2.25 which meets the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Risk is 2.54 (72.67-70.13), reward is 5.72 (78.39-72.67), giving R:R of 2.25 which clears the 2.0 minimum.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.95
Reward: 5.72, Risk: 2.54, R:R = 2.25 > 2, so trade meets risk-reward requirement.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.252confidence 0.5
Reward:risk is 2.25, meeting the minimum requirement of 2.
⊢ rr=2.252 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 1
The calculated reward-to-risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the strict mandate of requiring an R:R of at least 2.0.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 0.9
The reward to risk ratio is 2.25, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 0.7
Reward 5.72 divided by risk 2.54 yields R:R ~2.25, which meets the >=2 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 0.5
Risk = 72.67 - 70.13 = 2.54; Reward = 78.39 - 72.67 = 5.72; R:R = 5.72 / 2.54 ≈ 2.25, which meets the minimum 2:1 threshold, so the trade is approved on a reward:risk basis.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.9
Reward is 5.72 and risk is 2.54, giving an R:R of about 2.25, which meets the minimum requirement of 2.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.75
Reward is 5.72 and risk is 2.54, giving an R:R of about 2.25, which meets the minimum 2.0 requirement.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward:risk is 5.72/2.54 = 2.25, which meets the minimum 2.0 threshold, so the trade is acceptable on R:R grounds.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.25confidence 0.6
Reward:risk of 2.25 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; SOL consolidating under resistance after a sharp rally offers a valid breakout setup.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.8
RR of 5.72/2.54 equals 2.25 which meets the minimum 2:1 requirement so the long is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.24confidence 0.8
Reward:risk is 2.24 (target 5.72 points, stop 2.54 points), which meets the >= 2 threshold; consolidation below resistance after a sharp rally provides a reasonable setup.
⊢ rr=2.24 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39rr 2.26confidence 0.65
Reward:risk is 2.26 (target 78.39 vs entry 72.67 = 5.72 reward, stop 70.13 = 2.54 risk), meeting the minimum 2:1 threshold, so the trade is eligible. Confidence is moderate given the consolidation context but the setup is technically compliant.
⊢ rr=2.26 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.25confidence 0.8
Reward:risk is 2.25 which exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold, so the trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longsize 0.01sizePct 0.01entry 72.67invalidation 70.13takeProfit 78.39leverage 1riskPct 1compliant truemaxNotional 0.01rr 2.25confidence 0.6
R:R is 2.25 (5.72/2.54), exceeding the 2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.25 (exp 2.25), took=true canTrade=true