← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH coils near a key support level as funding rates flip negative. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6223 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2882 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that allows $2882 notional, so the proposed $6223 short is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that allows max notional ~$2882. A $6223 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
With max leverage 4x and max margin 22% of $3275 equity, max notional is 4*0.22*3275 = $2882. Requested $6223 notional exceeds limit, hence non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Maximum notional is 22% of equity as margin times max 4x leverage = 0.22 * 3275 * 4 = $2882. Requested 6223 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The proposed notional of 6223 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, making the maximum allowed notional 655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of $6223 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Margin required for a $6,223 notional short at 4x leverage is $1,555.75, which exceeds the 22% margin cap of $720.50. The maximum notional allowed is $720.50 × 4 = $2,882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
Max margin per position = 22% of $3275 = $720.50. At 4x leverage, max notional = 4 * $720.50 = $2882. Requested $6223 exceeds this, so non-compliant. Max notional = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.99
The proposed $6223 notional short is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate, a single position's notional is capped at 20% of $3275, so the maximum allowable notional is $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
Not compliant: the requested $6223 notional exceeds the governing mandate cap of 20% of $3275 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The proposed 6223 notional exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2882, which is calculated using the given house rules: 22% of $3275 equity ($720.5 margin) multiplied by 4x max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
A $6,223 notional at 4x leverage requires $1,555.75 margin, which is 47.5% of $3,275 equity — exceeding the 22% cap ($720.50). Max compliant notional = $720.50 × 4 = $2,882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Wanted notional exceeds max margin 22% * equity * 4x leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2878confidence 0.9
Max margin 22% of 3275=719.5; at 4x lev max notional=2878. Desired 6223 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=2878 exp=2882 err=0.1%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3275 = $720.50. At 4x leverage, max notional = $720.50 * 4 = $2882. The proposed 6223 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The requested notional of 6223 exceeds the maximum allowed notional based on the house rules. With account equity of 3275, max leverage of 4x, and max margin commit of 22% of equity (720.50), the max notional is 720.50 * 4 = 2882. The trade is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The requested 6223 notional requires 1555.75 in margin at 4x leverage (47.5% of equity), which exceeds the 22% max margin rule; the maximum compliant notional is 2882 (22% of 3275 * 4).
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 721.5confidence 0.8
The proposed notional of 6223 requires 1555.75 in margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the 22% equity limit of 720.5. The maximum compliant notional is 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=721.5 exp=2882 err=75.0%