← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH is consolidating near a key support level as funding rates flip positive. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2816 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Max margin is 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage that allows $2816 notional. The proposed $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x max leverage that allows $2816 notional. A $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.5
The desired notional of $5760 exceeds the max allowed notional of $2816 (equity $3200 * 22% margin * 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.5
Notional 5760 exceeds max allowed 2816 (4x leverage * 22% margin of $3200 equity).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640), which strictly overrides any conflicting hypothetical house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 violates the hard rule limiting a single position's notional to 20% of equity ($640), overriding any conflicting local house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Max margin per position = 22% of $3200 = $704. Max notional at 4x leverage = $704 * 4 = $2816. Requested $5760 exceeds this, so non-compliant. Maximum allowable notional is $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704. Max notional at 4x leverage = $704 * 4 = $2816. Requested $5760 exceeds this, so non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional short exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3200 equity. Maximum allowable notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional short is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate, a single position's notional is capped at 20% of $3200 equity, so the maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
At 4x max leverage the $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of $704. The binding constraint is margin: $704 × 4x = $2,816 max notional.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0
The proposed 5760 notional is not compliant. Based on the given house rules, the maximum margin is 22% of $3200 ($704), which at 4x leverage yields a maximum notional of $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; 22% of 3200 equity allows only 704 margin so max notional is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x > 704 max (22% of 3200); max notional therefore 704*4=2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional short requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage (45% of equity), exceeding the 22% margin limit. Max compliant notional is 2816 (22% of equity times 4x).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Position is non-compliant: the required margin for a 5760 notional short at 4x leverage is 1440, which exceeds the 22% margin limit of 704. The maximum notional allowed at 4x leverage with 704 margin is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The required margin of $1440 (5760 / 4) exceeds the maximum allowed margin of $704 (22% of $3200), making the trade non-compliant; the maximum notional at 4x leverage is $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3200 = $704. At 4x leverage, max notional = $704 × 4 = $2816. The proposed $5760 notional requires $1440 margin, exceeding the $704 limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%