← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ahead of the inflation print as ETH chops in a tight range. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout", "params": null }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout; rule forbids new positions. Wait for the print and let volatility resolve.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print, regardless of how clean the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data; must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of major data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; with CPI only 17 minutes away, the disciplined action is to stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so opening now would violate the mandate. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. ETH is also chopping in a tight range, so survival first: stand aside until after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. ETH is also chopping in a tight range, so survival and rule compliance take priority over the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Standing aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI in 17 min; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI in 17 min; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of release.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data. Edge does not override compliance.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of the setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before scheduled data. Standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. No position permitted regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat