← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A trader eyes a leveraged BTC short during a volatile funding spike. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2816 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage that allows $2816 notional. The proposed $5760 notional exceeds this limit, so it is non-compliant.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage that allows $2816 notional, so a $5760 short is non-compliant.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
With max margin 22% of $3200 equity ($704) and max leverage 4x, max notional = $2816. Proposed $5760 exceeds this.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Notional 5760 exceeds max allowed 2816 (equity 3200 * 22% margin cap * 4x leverage). Non-compliant.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested 5760 notional violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640), which strictly overrides the looser proposed house rules.
maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional exceeds the house rules' 22% margin limit, but more importantly, it violates my hard rules which strictly cap a single position's maximum notional at 20% of equity ($640) regardless of external allowances.
maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.5
Margin cap binds: 22% of $3200 equity = $704 margin. At 4x leverage, max notional = 4 × $704 = $2816, which is below the proposed $5760, so the order is non-compliant.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Proposed notional of $5760 requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the $704 cap (22% of $3200 equity). Maximum permissible notional is 4 × $704 = $2816.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.98
Not compliant: the requested $5760 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3200 equity. Maximum allowed notional is $640.
maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Not compliant: the maximum margin allowed is 22% of $3200 = $704, and at 4x leverage that supports only $2816 notional.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
My hard rules strictly cap notional at 20% of equity ($640) and leverage at 3x, overriding the stated house rules; thus the $5760 notional is non-compliant.
maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
The proposed $5,760 notional is not compliant. Max margin is 22% of $3,200 = $704, and at 4x max leverage the maximum notional is $704 × 4 = $2,816.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5760 notional at 4x requires 1440 margin > 704 (22% of equity); max notional therefore 704*4=2816.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Max margin 0.22*3200=704; 4x leverage caps notional at 2816. 5760 exceeds limit.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional at 4x leverage requires 1440 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 22% margin limit. The maximum notional is 3200 * 0.22 * 4 = 2816.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional short violates the margin rule (22% of equity = $704 max margin, yielding a $2816 max notional at 4x leverage), so it is not compliant.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage the max notional is $704 × 4 = $2816, which is below the requested $5760, so the trade is non-compliant.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Proposed notional $5760 at 4x leverage requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 22% limit. Max notional = 0.22 × $3200 × 4 = $2816.
maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%