← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

ETH chops in a tight range as desks square up ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on ETH, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside and reassess after the print.
blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away (inside the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data); regardless of setup quality, I stand aside until the print clears.
blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the 30-minute pre-data blackout rule. Standing aside.
blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
CPI is 17 minutes away, breaking our 30-minute pre-release rule. Opening now would be gambling, not trading. We wait for the print and reassess with post-release structure.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute blackout window. Standing aside per mandate; a clean setup does not override the pre-event no-trade rule.
blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes out, so opening now would violate the mandate regardless of how clean the setup looks. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release, and ETH is chopping in a tight range. Stand aside until after the event risk clears and a valid setup re-forms.
blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Tight chop into the print also offers poor edge and elevated gap/slippage risk.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
A hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, breaching the strict 30-minute blackout window for new positions. Standing flat to avoid news-driven slippage and chop.
blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI in 17 min violates 30-min rule; tight chop also shows no edge.
blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
CPI print is 17 minutes away; hard rule forbids new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact data. Stand aside, no edge worth the binary risk.
blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (CPI in 17 minutes). This overrides any setup, no matter how clean. Wait for the event to pass and re-evaluate.
blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Additionally, choppy price action offers no edge. Stand flat.
blackout active, action=flat