← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A whale-watching newbie wants to ride BTC's morning pump with a sizable short. Given: account equity $3750. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6750 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3300 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.9
Margin cap is 22% of $3750 = $825; at max 4x leverage that allows $3300 notional, but my own mandate caps leverage at 3x (max $2475) and notional at 20% equity ($750). The proposed $6750 short far exceeds the house margin limit and is non-compliant; max under house rules is $3300.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.9
Max margin is 22% of $3750 = $825; at 4x leverage that allows $3300 notional. The requested $6750 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✗ fail
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 33000confidence 1
At 4x leverage, max notional = equity * 4 = $15,000, but house rule caps margin at 22% of equity ($825 margin). At 4x, that margin allows notional of $825 * 4 = $3300. So the desired $6750 notional exceeds the $3300 maximum.
⊢ maxNotional=33000 exp=3300 err=900.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0
Maximum notional is limited by 4x leverage ($15,000) and the 22% margin cap ($3,750 * 0.22 = $825 collateral → max notional = $825 * 4 = $3,300). The desired $6,750 notional exceeds the $3,300 limit.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 750confidence 1
The proposed notional of $6750 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity, which caps the maximum notional at $750.
⊢ maxNotional=750 exp=3300 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
The requested 6750 notional exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 3300, which is calculated as 22% of the $3750 equity ($825 max margin) multiplied by the 4x maximum leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
Requested $6750 notional violates the 22% margin cap: max margin = 0.22 × $3750 = $825, so at 4x leverage max notional = 4 × $825 = $3300. Trade is non-compliant; max allowable notional is $3300.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.95
Not compliant: $6750 notional at 4x requires $1687.50 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 22% margin cap. Max margin = 0.22 × $3750 = $825; at 4x leverage, max notional = $825 × 4 = $3300.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 750confidence 0.99
The proposed $6750 notional short is not compliant. Under the stricter trading mandate, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3750 equity, so the maximum notional is $750.
⊢ maxNotional=750 exp=3300 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.95
Not compliant: max margin is 22% of $3750 = $825, and at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $3300. The proposed $6750 short exceeds that limit.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
A 6750 notional short at max 4x leverage requires 1687.50 in margin, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of 825. The maximum compliant notional is 825 margin times 4x leverage, equaling 3300.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0
Based on the provided house rules, the maximum margin is 22% of $3750 ($825) and max leverage is 4x, resulting in a maximum notional of $3300. The desired $6750 notional short exceeds this limit and is therefore non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.9
6750 notional requires 1687.5 margin at 4x; max margin allowed is 825 so max notional is 3300.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 0.9
6750 notional requires >22% margin even at 4x; max notional=0.22*3750*4
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
The proposed 6750 notional requires 1687.50 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity—exceeding the 22% margin rule. The maximum allowable notional is 3300, calculated as 22% of equity times max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
A 6750 notional short on a $3750 account exceeds the 22% equity margin limit; the maximum compliant notional is $3,300 (22% equity * 4x leverage = 0.22 * 3750 * 4).
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 750confidence 1
The proposed $6750 notional violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($750), which is stricter than the house rules; thus, the maximum compliant notional is $750.
⊢ maxNotional=750 exp=3300 err=77.3%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3300confidence 1
The maximum notional allowed is $3300 (22% of $3750 margin * 4x leverage), so a $6750 notional short is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3300 exp=3300 err=0.0%