← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ahead of the inflation print, with HYPE volatility coiling tight. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside regardless of setup quality and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away. Standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. With CPI 17 minutes away, standing aside is mandatory regardless of the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI lands in 17 minutes, well inside the 30-minute blackout window for high-impact data. Opening now would breach a hard rule regardless of how clean the setup looks; stand flat and reassess after the release and volatility normalizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes — must stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks, since post-release volatility can invalidate any pre-news structure.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.98
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. With the event 17 minutes away, stand aside regardless of the apparent setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Volatility is coiling and event risk can invalidate the setup, so survival takes priority.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away; hard rule forbids new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: 17 minutes to a scheduled high-impact data release is within the 30-minute blackout window. No new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violated: high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute window before scheduled data. Cannot open a new position regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule breach: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat