← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

BTC chops sideways as a trader eyes a leveraged short before the funding window. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 15% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 1920 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin is 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that allows $1920 notional. A $5760 short requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), violating both the margin cap and the implied leverage limits.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin = 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that allows $1920 notional. The requested $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Intended short of $5760 notional requires at least $1440 margin (at 4x leverage) but only $480 margin is allowed (15% of equity). Maximum compliant notional is $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The desired notional of 5760 exceeds max allowed: with 15% margin ($480) and 4x leverage, max notional is $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5760 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed 5760 notional is non-compliant. While the provided house rules allow up to 1920 in notional (15% margin at 4x leverage), the hard mandate strictly caps a single position's notional at 20% of equity, making the true maximum notional 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Not compliant. Margin cap is 15% of $3200 = $480. At 4x max leverage, max notional = $480 x 4 = $1,920. The proposed $5,760 notional would require $1,440 margin (45% of equity) at 4x, breaching both the leverage and margin-cap rules.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Not compliant: $5760 notional at 4x requires $1440 margin, exceeding the 15% equity cap of $480. Max notional = 0.15 × $3200 × 4x = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate limit, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so max notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter trading mandate, a single position may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The proposed $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin at max 4x leverage, which exceeds the 15% equity margin cap of $480. The binding constraint is margin: $480 × 4x = $1,920 max notional.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
A $5,760 notional at 4x leverage requires $1,440 margin (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap. Max margin is $480 (15% of $3,200), yielding a max notional of $480 × 4 = $1,920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.5
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x (>15% of 3200 equity); max notional at 480 margin limit is 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Margin required for 5760 notional at 4x is 1440 (45% of equity), exceeding the 15% limit. Maximum notional is 3200 * 0.15 * 4 = 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max margin is 15% of $3200 = $480; with 4x max leverage the max notional is $480 * 4 = $1920. Proposed $5760 notional exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 15% of $3200 = $480. At 4x leverage, max notional = $480 × 4 = $1920. Requested $5760 exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Proposed notional $5760 requires $1440 margin at 4x, which exceeds the 15% of equity limit ($480). Maximum notional = 15% × equity × leverage = $480 × 4 = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%