← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders brace as the HYPE desk eyes the upcoming jobs print with thin liquidity. A high-impact NFP release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
NFP is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-trade window before a high-impact release; thin liquidity adds slippage and gap risk. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
NFP is 17 minutes away (within the 30-minute no-new-position window) with thin liquidity; hard rule forbids entry. Wait for the print and post-release confirmation.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
High-impact NFP release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact NFP release in 17 minutes, within the mandatory 30-minute blackout period. Standing flat per risk rules.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact NFP release is scheduled in 17 minutes, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. Standing aside until after the NFP print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact NFP release is 17 minutes away; mandate prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled high-impact data. Stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. NFP is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality. Will reassess after the print and once liquidity normalizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
Stand aside: a high-impact NFP release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. Thin liquidity further increases slippage and invalidates taking the setup now.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact release; NFP is 17 minutes away. Thin liquidity further increases slippage and headline risk, so stand aside until after the print stabilizes.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release like NFP.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the NFP print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact NFP release in 17 min; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact NFP release is only 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. NFP is 17 minutes away, so standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
Hard rule mandates no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release (NFP in 17 minutes). Even with a clean setup, opening now is prohibited.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
NFP is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute blackout window before high-impact data releases. Hard rule violation; must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: NFP is a high-impact release only 17 minutes away, and the mandate prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events. Standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat