← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

HYPE is ripping into a perp listing frenzy and you're tempted to lean in hard. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 18% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5920 notional short on HYPE. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2304 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Max margin = 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that allows $2304 notional. The proposed $5920 short far exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
Max margin = 18% of $3200 = $576; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $2304. A $5920 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✗ fail
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 3456confidence 1
Margin required for 5920 notional at max 3x leverage is 1973.33, which exceeds the 18% equity margin limit of 576. The max notional is 3 * (0.18 * 3200) = 1728.
⊢ maxNotional=3456 exp=2304 err=50.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
With 4x max leverage and margin capped at 18% of $3200 equity ($576), max notional is $2304. $5920 notional requires $1480 margin (at 4x), exceeding the limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of 5920 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, making the maximum allowed notional 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
Although the hypothetical rules suggest a $2304 notional limit (18% margin at 4x), my hard rules strictly cap leverage at 3x and maximum notional at 20% of equity, which is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Proposed $5920 notional requires $1480 margin at 4x, but the 18% equity cap allows only $576 margin, which at 4x yields $2304 max notional.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Max margin per position is 18% of $3200 = $576. At 4x leverage, max notional = $576 × 4 = $2304. The desired $5920 notional would require $1480 margin, exceeding the $576 cap, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5920 notional exceeds allowable limits. Under the stricter mandate, a single position's notional may not exceed 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2304 err=72.2%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
Not compliant: max margin is 18% of $3200 = $576, and at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $2304, below the requested $5920.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
A $5,920 notional at 4x leverage requires $1,480 margin (46.25% of equity), violating the 18% margin cap. The binding constraint is margin: 18% of $3,200 = $576 margin, which at 4x yields a max notional of $2,304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0
The proposed 5920 notional exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2304, calculated as 18% of 3200 equity (576 margin) times 4x leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
5920 notional requires 1480 margin at 4x; max allowed margin is 576 (18% of 3200).
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
5920 notional requires 1480 margin at 4x; max margin allowed is 576 so max notional is 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The 5920 notional short on HYPE requires margin that exceeds the 18% equity limit. Maximum notional is 4x leverage * 3200 * 0.18 = 2304.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.95
The proposed 5920 notional exceeds the maximum allowed based on the 18% margin constraint ($576 margin → $2304 notional at 4x leverage), making it non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 1
The maximum margin allowed is 18% of $3200 ($576), which at 4x leverage permits a maximum notional of $2304, making the desired $5920 short non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2304confidence 0.9
Max margin per position is 18% of $3,200 = $576; at 4x leverage the max notional is $576 × 4 = $2,304. Desired $5,920 notional would require $1,480 margin (46.25% of equity) or 10.3x leverage, both exceeding limits.
⊢ maxNotional=2304 exp=2304 err=0.0%