← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders brace as HYPE drifts sideways ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes, mandatory 30-minute no-trade window. Standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact CPI release (17 minutes away). Edge/confidence is irrelevant; discipline overrides. Standing flat is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is scheduled in 17 minutes, violating the hard rule against opening new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so the trade window is closed regardless of setup quality. Stand aside and reassess after the release and a clean post-event structure forms.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule blocks any new position within 30 minutes of a high-impact CPI release, and it is only 17 minutes away. Sideways drift into a scheduled inflation print is the classic setup for a stop-hunt or gap; standing flat is the correct call regardless of how clean the chart looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Sideways drift also reduces edge, so survival takes priority.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. HYPE is also drifting sideways, so event risk and weak directional edge favor waiting.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
A high-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away — standing flat is mandatory regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat