← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH chops sideways as a trader eyes a leveraged swing into the next funding window. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5895 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2882 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that caps notional at $2882. The requested $5895 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage max notional = $2882. Requested $5895 exceeds this, so non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Proposed notional $5895 requires margin $1473.75 (45% equity), exceeding the 22% limit ($720.50). Max notional = $720.50 * 4x = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 7205confidence 0
The requested notional of $5895 exceeds the 20% equity limit ($655) when applied as margin at 4x leverage (5895/4=$1473.75 > $655). Under the house-mandated 22% margin rule, max notional is 3275 * 0.22 * 4 = $2882. However, under my hard-law 20% notional limit, max notional is 3275 * 0.20 = $655, so I return the stricter $655. Anyway, the request is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=7205 exp=2882 err=150.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of $5895 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity ($655).
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of $5895 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity ($655).
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Not compliant. Max margin = 22% × $3275 = $720.50; with 4x leverage cap, max notional = $720.50 × 4 = $2882.00. The requested $5895 notional would require ~8.2x leverage, breaching the 4x cap.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
At 4x leverage, a $5895 notional short requires $1473.75 of margin, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of $720.50. Maximum allowable notional = 4 × $720.50 = $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.99
Not compliant: with $3275 equity, 22% max margin is $720.50, and at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.99
The requested $5895 notional is not compliant. Although the stated margin/leverage cap would allow $2882, the stricter mandate caps any single position's notional at 20% of $3275, or $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
A $5,895 notional at up to 4x leverage requires $1,473.75 margin (45% of equity), breaching the 22% margin cap. The binding constraint is max margin of $720.50 (22% of $3,275) times 4x leverage, yielding a max notional of $2,882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0.95
The proposed $5,895 notional far exceeds the hard-rule cap of 20% of equity ($655) and the stated 4x leverage violates the 3x max; the binding constraint is the 20% notional limit.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
5895 notional requires 1473.75 margin at 4x; max allowed margin is 720.5 so max notional is 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
A 5895 notional short on $3275 equity implies ~1.8x leverage, which is under the 4x max, but the margin required (notional / leverage) would be 5895 / 4 = 1473.75, which is 45% of equity, exceeding the 22% margin limit. Max notional allowed is 3275 * 0.22 * 4 = 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2883confidence 1
The proposed notional of $5895 exceeds the maximum allowed notional. With $3275 equity and a 22% margin cap, the maximum margin is $720.50, and at 4x leverage, the max notional is $2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2883 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3275 = $720.50. At 4x leverage, max notional = $720.50 × 4 = $2882. Requested notional of $5895 exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $720.50 × 4 = $2882, which is below the requested $5895, so the position is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%