← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A swing trader eyes a BTC short into a crowded resistance zone. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2816 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage that allows $2816 notional. The desired $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage that allows $2816 notional. The desired $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Planned notional $5760 requires at least $1440 margin (at 4x), exceeding the max margin of $704 (22% of $3200). Max compliant notional is $704 * 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0
The requested notional of 5760 exceeds the maximum allowed notional. With 22% margin limit, max margin is 704 (3200 * 0.22). At 4x leverage, max notional is 704 * 4 = 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of 5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum notional at 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional exceeds the hypothetical house rules ($2816 max) and violates my strict hard rules, which cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640).
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Notional $5760 would require $1440 margin at 4x, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of $704. Max compliant notional = 0.22 × $3200 × 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Not compliant: $5760 notional requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, exceeding the 22% equity cap of $704. Max notional is $2816 (margin = $704 at 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The proposed $5760 notional exceeds the stricter mandate cap of 20% of $3200 equity, so it is not compliant. Maximum permitted notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Not compliant: with $3200 equity, max margin is 22% = $704, and at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $2816; the proposed $5760 exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
A $5,760 notional at 4x leverage requires $1,440 margin, which exceeds the 22% equity cap of $704. The maximum compliant notional is 4 × $704 = $2,816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0
The proposed 5760 notional short is non-compliant because it exceeds the maximum allowed notional of 2816, which is derived from the 22% margin limit (704 USD) multiplied by the 4x max leverage.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; 22% of 3200 equity allows only 704 margin so max notional is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
Max margin 0.22*3200=704; 4x gives max notional 2816 which is below requested 5760.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $2816 (22% of $3200 equity * 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Proposed notional of $5760 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $2816 (22% of $3200 equity × 4x leverage). The position is not compliant with house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
— no answer
no answer
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
A $5760 notional at 4x leverage requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), which exceeds the 22% max margin rule ($704). Max notional = 0.22 × $3200 × 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%