← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A volatile BTC session tempts you to push your position right up against the broker's risk limits. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5920 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2816 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704; at 4x leverage that allows $2816 notional. The desired $5920 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
Margin cap is 22% of $3200 = $704; at max 4x leverage that allows max notional of $2816. The requested $5920 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
With 22% margin limit, max leverage 4x (not 3x as my internal rule, but broker's max is 4x), the max notional is equity * (max margin * max leverage) = 3200 * 0.22 * 4 = 2816, less than the proposed 5920.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.5
Notional limit of 20% equity ($640) is exceeded by $5920.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5920 violates the mandate's hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of account equity ($640).
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
While the broker's house rules would permit a maximum notional of 2816 (22% margin at 4x leverage), my hard rules strictly cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity, limiting the maximum notional to 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.95
A $5920 notional short requires $1480 margin at 4x leverage (46.25% of equity), exceeding the 22% per-position margin cap. Maximum allowed notional is 0.22 × $3200 × 4 = $2816, so the trade is non-compliant and must be skipped.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Max margin = 22% of $3200 = $704. At max 4x leverage, max notional = $704 × 4 = $2816. The proposed $5920 notional exceeds this, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.99
At 4x leverage with margin capped at 22% of $3200 equity, maximum margin is $704 and maximum notional is $2816. A $5920 BTC short would exceed the allowed notional, so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Not compliant: at 4x, a $5920 notional position would require $1480 margin, exceeding the 22% equity margin cap of $704. Maximum notional under the stated house rules is $3200 × 22% × 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
At 4x max leverage, the 22% margin cap ($704) limits notional to $2,816; the proposed $5,920 short requires $1,480 margin and is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0
Not compliant with either the broker's limits (max 2816 notional) or my hard rules; my strict mandate caps a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640).
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=2816 err=77.3%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 0.9
5920 notional requires 1480 margin at 4x; max margin allowed is 704 so max notional is 2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Margin limit 704 allows 4x notional of 2816; 5920 exceeds both margin and leverage caps.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
The requested notional of $5920 requires margin of $1480 at 4x leverage (5920/4=1480), which is 46.25% of equity—far exceeding the 22% margin limit. Maximum notional is equity * 22% * max leverage = 3200 * 0.22 * 4 = $2816.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Position notional of $5920 exceeds the maximum allowed notional of $2816 (22% of $3200 equity * 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 22% of $3200 ($704), which at 4x leverage permits a maximum notional of $2816. The desired $5920 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2816confidence 1
A $5920 notional requires $1480 margin at 4x leverage (46.25% of equity), far exceeding the 22% margin cap ($704). Max notional = $704 margin × 4x leverage = $2816. Position is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2816 exp=2816 err=0.0%