← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up ahead of the inflation print as SOL chops near resistance. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on SOL, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window; stand aside and reassess after the print and volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, within the 30-minute embargo period; no new positions are permitted.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Standing flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which strictly violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of major data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI prints in 17 minutes, so opening now violates the mandate regardless of how clean the setup looks. Stand aside and reassess after the release and the initial volatility settles.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; CPI is 17 minutes out, so I must stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, so opening a new SOL position would violate the 30-minute event-risk rule. Choppy price action near resistance also reduces edge.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even a clean setup near resistance is not tradable under the mandate due to event-risk and likely volatility spike.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the strict 30-minute blackout period for opening new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release in 17 min; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so the mandate forbids opening a trade.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI is 17 minutes away (<30 min buffer for high-impact data). Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which falls within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Hard rule override—no position permitted regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. No position permitted regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat