← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

ETH is grinding sideways while you eye a leveraged swing into a key resistance band. Given: account equity $3275. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 22% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 6059 notional short on ETH. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 2882 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.95
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage max notional = $2882. The proposed $6059 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Max margin = 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage max notional = $2882. The requested $6059 exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Margin required for 6059 notional at 4x leverage is 1514.75, which is 46.2% of equity, exceeding the 22% limit. Max notional is 3275 * 0.22 * 4 = 2882.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The proposed notional of $6059 exceeds 0.88 × equity = $2882, given the 4× max leverage and 22% margin cap.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of 6059 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which limits the maximum notional to 655, overriding any hypothetical house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested notional of 6059 is not compliant. My hard rules strictly cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($655), which overrides the hypothetical house rules.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
At 4x max leverage, margin = notional/4 must be <= 22% of $3275 = $720.50, so max notional = $720.50 x 4 = $2882. The proposed $6059 notional requires $1514.75 margin (46.2% of equity), violating the 22% margin cap.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
Desired $6059 notional exceeds the 22% margin cap. Max margin = 0.22 × $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage that permits $720.50 × 4 = $2882 notional, which is the binding constraint.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
The requested $6059 notional exceeds the mandate cap of 20% of $3275 equity, so it is not compliant. Maximum allowable notional is $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.99
Not compliant: maximum margin is 22% of $3275 = $720.50, and at 4x leverage the maximum notional is $2882, below the requested $6059.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
System hard rules strictly limit max notional to 20% of equity ($655) and leverage to 3x, overriding the stated house rules; thus the 6059 notional is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 0
The proposed 6059 notional violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, capping the maximum allowed notional at 655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 0.9
22% of 3275 equity allows 720.5 margin; at 4x max leverage this caps notional at 2882, below requested 6059.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2878confidence 0.95
6059 notional requires 1514.75 margin at 4x, exceeding 22% equity limit of 719.5; max notional therefore 4*719.5=2878.
⊢ maxNotional=2878 exp=2882 err=0.1%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Compliance check: max notional = equity * max_leverage * max_margin_pct = 3275 * 4 * 0.22 = 2882. Proposed 6059 exceeds limit.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
The proposed notional of $6059 exceeds the max allowed notional of $2882 (22% of equity times 4x leverage), so it is not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action shortcompliant falsemaxNotional 2882confidence 1
Max margin is 22% of $3275 = $720.50; at 4x leverage the max notional is $720.50 × 4 = $2882, well below the proposed $6059.
⊢ maxNotional=2882 exp=2882 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 655confidence 1
Mandate caps single-position notional at 20% of equity ($655). The proposed $6,059 notional is ~185% of equity, far exceeding both the mandate notional cap and the house margin cap (22% × $3,275 × 3x = $2,161.50). The binding constraint is the mandate's 20% notional limit, so maxNotional = $655.
⊢ maxNotional=655 exp=2882 err=77.3%