← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

HYPE chops sideways as desks square up ahead of the inflation print. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on HYPE, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data. Stand aside until the print clears and volatility resolves.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before high-impact data; stand aside regardless of setup and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
No new positions within 30 minutes of high-impact CPI release per hard rules. Standing flat is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because opening a position 17 minutes before a high-impact CPI release violates the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of major data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute pre-event blackout window. Mandate prohibits opening new positions here; stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0
Hard rule blocks new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release; CPI prints in 17 minutes, so I must stand aside regardless of how the setup looks.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 1
Stand aside because the high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-positions window. The setup is irrelevant under the mandate; survival and event-risk avoidance take priority.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Even with a clean setup, event risk overrides the signal.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule strictly prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule prohibits opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. 17 minutes is within the forbidden window, regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away; stand flat and wait for the event to pass.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Hard rule override — no new positions allowed regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatsize 0sizePct 0entry 0invalidation 0takeProfit 0leverage 0riskPct 0compliant falsemaxNotional 0rr 0confidence 0.9
Hard rule breach: CPI is 17 minutes away, well within the 30-minute no-trade window before high-impact data. Additionally, choppy price action and neutral positioning offer no edge. Stand flat.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat