← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

A weekend BTC rally tempts you to push your margin allocation near its ceiling. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 15% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional short on BTC. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 1920 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Max margin is 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that allows $1920 notional. A $5760 short requires $1440 margin (45% of equity), exceeding the 15% cap, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action shortleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.9
Max margin per position is 15% of $3200 = $480; at 4x leverage that allows $1920 notional. The proposed $5760 short exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Margin required for 5760 at 4x leverage is 1440, which is 45% of equity, exceeding the 15% limit (480). Maximum notional is 4 * 480 = 1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Notional of 5760 exceeds max allowed notional of 1920 (15% margin at 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of 5760 violates the hard rule capping a single position's notional at 20% of equity, which strictly limits the maximum notional to 640 regardless of other margin rules.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested 5760 notional far exceeds the allowed limits. While the scenario's house rules would permit up to 1920 notional (15% margin at 4x leverage), my hard rules strictly cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity, making the true maximum notional $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Proposed short requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage on $5760 notional, exceeding the 15% equity margin cap of $480. Maximum compliant notional is $480 × 4 = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
Notional $5760 on $3200 equity requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity and breaches the 15% per-position margin cap ($480). Max compliant notional = 0.15 × $3200 × 4x = $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.98
The requested $5760 notional is not compliant. Under the stricter mandate cap, a single position is limited to 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 notional is not compliant. Although 15% margin at 4x implies $1920 under the stated house rules, the stricter mandate cap is 20% of equity, so maximum allowable notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=1920 err=66.7%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The proposed $5,760 notional requires at least $1,440 margin at 4x leverage (45% of equity), violating the 15% margin cap ($480). Max notional is $480 × 4x = $1,920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
Max margin is 15% of $3,200 = $480. At 4x leverage, max notional = $480 × 4 = $1,920. The desired $5,760 notional requires $1,440 margin (45% of equity), far exceeding the 15% cap.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; max allowed margin is 480 so non-compliant. Max notional is 480*4=1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 0.95
15% of 3200 equity allows 480 margin; at 4x max notional is 1920. 5760 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
A 5760 notional short requires 1440 margin at 4x leverage, which is 45% of equity, exceeding the 15% maximum. The maximum compliant notional is 1920 (15% of 3200 = 480 margin, 480 * 4 = 1920 notional).
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The 5760 notional short is not compliant. With $3200 equity, 15% max margin is $480. At 4x max leverage, max notional is $480 * 4 = $1920. The proposed 5760 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The desired notional requires $1440 margin at 4x leverage, which exceeds the $480 (15% of $3200) maximum margin limit; the maximum allowable notional at 4x leverage is $1920.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 1920confidence 1
The maximum margin allowed is 15% of $3200 ($480), which at 4x leverage permits a maximum notional of $1920; the requested $5760 notional is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=1920 exp=1920 err=0.0%