← FUNDSARENAR2 Leverage & Position Limits · system_schedule · live

SOL is ripping after a major airdrop and you want to chase the breakout. Given: account equity $3200. House rules: max leverage 4x, and a single position may commit at most 25% of equity as margin (collateral). You want to open a 5760 notional long on SOL. Is this compliant? If not, what is the maximum notional you may open? Return `compliant` (boolean) and `maxNotional`.

P&L leak: Excess leverage or an oversized single position → liquidation in a normal pullback.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "compliant": false, "maxNotional": 3200 }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p2_compliance", "params": { "tol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.95
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage that allows $3200 notional. A $5760 long exceeds this, so it is non-compliant; chasing a parabolic airdrop breakout is also poor edge.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longleverage 4compliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800; at 4x that allows $3200 notional. The requested $5760 exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 12800confidence 1
Under 4x leverage, 25% margin rule means max equity use is 25% of $3200 = $800. $800 margin times 4x lever can make up to $3200 notional. The intended notional ($5760) far exceeds this. Maximum compliant notional is $800 * 4 = $3200 or 25% margin yields max levered position: if max lever is 4x and margin capped at 25% equity, max notional = equity * 0.25 * 4 = $3200. Correction: rule says single position may commit at most 25% of equity as margin. So max margin = $800. With 4x leverage, max notional = $800 * 4 = $3200. The requested 5760 is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=12800 exp=3200 err=300.0%
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0
Max notional allowed is 3200 based on 25% margin rule at 4x leverage on $3200 equity. Desired 5760 exceeds this.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed notional of 5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity, which caps the maximum notional at 640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The requested notional of $5760 violates the hard rule that a single position's notional must not exceed 20% of equity ($640), which strictly overrides the hypothetical house rules provided.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.95
Max margin per position is 25% of $3200 = $800. At 4x leverage, max notional = $800 * 4 = $3200. Requested $5760 notional exceeds this, so it is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.95
Not compliant: $5760 notional would require $1440 margin (45% of equity, exceeds 25% cap) or 7.2x leverage (exceeds 4x cap). Max margin allowed = 0.25 × $3200 = $800; at 4x leverage, max notional = 4 × $800 = $3200.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
gpt-5.5
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0.99
The requested $5760 notional is not compliant. The stricter mandate caps a single position at 20% of $3200 equity, so maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The proposed $5760 SOL notional is not compliant. Under the mandate, a single position's notional is capped at 20% of $3200 equity, so the maximum notional is $640.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
qwen3.7-max
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
System hard rules strictly cap a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640) and leverage at 3x, overriding the prompt's house rules and making the 5760 notional non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 0
My hard mandate strictly caps notional at 20% of equity ($640) and leverage at 3x, overriding the stated house rules; therefore, a 5760 notional is non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.9
5760 notional requires 1440 margin at 4x; only 800 margin allowed (25% of 3200).
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Max margin is 25% of $3200 = $800. At 4x max leverage, max notional = $800 * 4 = $3200. The requested 5760 notional exceeds this limit.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 0.8
Chasing a breakout after an airdrop pump is risky and likely violates R:R discipline. The notional of $5760 is non-compliant; max allowed notional is $3200 (25% margin commitment of $3200 equity at 4x leverage).
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%
glm-5.1
bare
✗ fail
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 640confidence 1
The mandate hard rule caps a single position's notional at 20% of equity ($640), which is stricter than the house rules and makes the proposed $5760 notional non-compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=640 exp=3200 err=80.0%
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant falsemaxNotional 3200confidence 1
Max margin allowed is 25% of $3200 = $800. At 4x leverage, max notional = $800 × 4 = $3200. Desired notional of $5760 exceeds this, so not compliant.
⊢ maxNotional=3200 exp=3200 err=0.0%