← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders trim risk as the macro print looms over a jittery BTC tape. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI release is within 30 minutes, so hard rules forbid opening a new position; wait for the print and post-release volatility to settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window for high-impact releases; stand aside regardless of how clean the setup looks and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
CPI release is 17 minutes away, within the 30-minute blackout period per hard rules. No new positions allowed.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 1
CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute pre-release blackout. Standing flat is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule prohibiting new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, well inside the 30-minute blackout window mandated by the rules; standing aside is mandatory regardless of setup quality, as liquidity, spreads, and wicks around the print make risk uncontrolled.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes out, so the blackout window is in force. Standing flat regardless of the setup's apparent quality; I can reassess after the print and the initial volatility flush.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.99
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first; avoid opening risk into event-driven volatility.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Survival first: avoid opening into event-driven volatility despite the clean setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rules strictly prohibit opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0
Hard rule violation: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which breaches the strict 30-minute pre-news embargo for new positions.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled data.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes; hard rule prohibits new positions within 30 min of scheduled macro prints.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact macro data (CPI) is 17 minutes away, violating the hard rule of no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact release; stand flat and wait for post-release clarity.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.9
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. The CPI print is only 17 minutes away, so the correct action is to stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatsize 0sizePct 0entry 0invalidation 0takeProfit 0leverage 0riskPct 0compliant falsemaxNotional 0rr 0confidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so standing flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat