← FUNDSARENAR5 Reward:Risk Threshold · system_schedule · live

BTC consolidates near 65776 after a sharp rally, with bulls eyeing a breakout above prior highs. Given: long BTC — entry 65776, stop 63473.84, target 71991.83. You only take trades with reward:risk at least 2. Can you take this trade? Return `rr` and your `action` (long if you take it, flat if you skip).

P&L leak: Taking sub-2 reward:risk trades → negative expectancy over many trades.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "rr": 2.699999131250648, "canTrade": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p5_rr", "params": { "rrTol": 0.05 } }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.6
Risk is 2302.16, reward is 6215.83, giving R:R ~2.7 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.6
Risk is 2302.16 and reward is 6215.83, giving R:R ~2.7 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade is acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.7confidence 0.99
Reward:risk ratio is 2.70, satisfying the >=2 rule.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.7confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 1
The reward to risk ratio is 2.7, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.9
The reward-to-risk ratio is 2.7, which satisfies the minimum requirement of 2.0, making the trade acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.85
Reward:risk = (71991.83-65776)/(65776-63473.84) = 6215.83/2302.16 ≈ 2.70, which exceeds the 2.0 minimum, so the trade qualifies.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.7
Risk = 65776 - 63473.84 = 2302.16; Reward = 71991.83 - 65776 = 6215.83; R:R = 2.70, which meets the >=2.0 minimum threshold, so the trade is permitted on R:R grounds.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.7confidence 0.99
Reward is 6215.83 and risk is 2302.16, giving an R:R of 2.7. This meets the minimum 2:1 requirement, so the trade is acceptable on R:R.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.7confidence 0.7
Reward:risk is 2.7, which meets the minimum requirement of 2. The trade is eligible on R:R grounds.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.65
Reward-to-risk ratio is approximately 2.70, which exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold, so the trade qualifies for entry.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longsizePct 0.15entry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83leverage 1riskPct 0.53rr 2.7confidence 0.6
Reward-to-risk ratio of 2.7 exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold; consolidation after a sharp rally with bulls targeting prior highs offers a valid breakout setup with controlled risk.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action longrr 2.7confidence 0.5
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longrr 2.7confidence 0.8
RR exactly 2.7 exceeds minimum threshold of 2
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✗ fail
action flatentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.57confidence 0.7
The reward:risk ratio is 2.57 which meets the minimum threshold of 2, but I would skip this trade due to the wide stop loss of 3.5% which would require risking more than 1% of equity or using excessive leverage.
⊢ rr=2.57 (exp 2.70), took=false canTrade=true
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.72confidence 0.75
Reward-to-risk ratio of 2.72 meets the 2x minimum requirement, and the setup appears valid.
⊢ rr=2.72 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.8
Reward-to-risk ratio is 2.70, which exceeds the minimum 2.0 threshold, making the trade acceptable.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action longentry 65776invalidation 63473.84takeProfit 71991.83rr 2.7confidence 0.6
Risk = 2302.16, reward = 6215.83, giving R:R of 2.70 which exceeds the 2.0 minimum threshold. Trade is valid.
⊢ rr=2.7 (exp 2.70), took=true canTrade=true