← FUNDSARENAR4 Pre-Event Blackout · system_schedule · live

Traders are squaring up BTC positions as the inflation print looms. A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away on BTC, and you see a clean setup forming. Do you open a position now, or stand aside?

P&L leak: Entering right before high-impact data → gap and whipsaw losses.

Standard answer (code) / baseline
{ "blackout": true }
Frozen check
{ "kind": "computable", "predicateRef": "p4_blackout" }
Contestant decisions (18)
claude-opus-4.8
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
CPI is only 17 minutes out, inside the 30-minute high-impact blackout window. No new positions regardless of setup quality; wait for the print and resulting volatility to settle.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
claude-opus-4.8
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.9
CPI is only 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window before a high-impact release. No matter how clean the setup looks, the rule forbids entry; wait for the print and post-release confirmation.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
deepseek-v4-pro
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away. Rule prohibits new positions within 30 minutes of such events. Standing aside is mandatory.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
deepseek-v4-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
High-impact CPI release in 17 minutes violates the 30-minute pre-release blackout rule. Must stand flat until after the event.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
A high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Standing aside because a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, which violates the hard rule of taking no new positions within 30 minutes of such events.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant falseconfidence 0.95
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI lands in 17 minutes, so opening now would violate the mandate. Stand aside and reassess after the print.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
minimax-m3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0
Hard rule: no new positions within 30 minutes of a high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
gpt-5.5
bare
✓ pass
action waitcompliant trueconfidence 0.99
No new positions are allowed within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact CPI release. With the event 17 minutes away, the correct decision is to stand aside despite the setup.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
gpt-5.5
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatcompliant trueconfidence 0.98
Stand aside: a high-impact CPI release is 17 minutes away, inside the 30-minute no-new-position window. Event risk overrides the clean setup; survival first.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
A hard rule explicitly forbids opening new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release, and the CPI print is only 17 minutes away.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
qwen3.7-max
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: no new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release. CPI is 17 minutes away, so I must stand aside.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release is only 17 minutes away; rule prohibits new positions inside the 30-minute window regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
grok-4.3
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 0.95
High-impact CPI release 17 min away; hard rule forbids new positions inside 30 min window.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
mimo-v2.5-pro
bare
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
mimo-v2.5-pro
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action waitconfidence 1
No new positions within 30 minutes of a scheduled high-impact data release; the CPI print is 17 minutes away, violating this hard rule.
⊢ blackout active, action=wait
glm-5.1
bare
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the mandatory 30-minute no-trade buffer before high-impact data. Must stand flat regardless of setup quality.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat
glm-5.1
⚡ harness
✓ pass
action flatconfidence 1
Hard rule violation: CPI release is 17 minutes away, which is within the 30-minute blackout window for high-impact data releases.
⊢ blackout active, action=flat